Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 319.666664 362.627569 410.576398 468.307676 536.258411 614.094244 710.569941
2025-06-29 254.318107 309.664122 377.095026 466.271484 582.572781 731.165138 938.759831
2025-07-06 211.526366 268.849939 342.553489 445.977018 590.159871 788.375463 1089.343155
2025-07-13 194.750244 256.959849 340.828805 464.953746 648.922048 919.873657 1365.832711
2025-07-20 182.550237 248.727168 341.687453 485.887196 711.715201 1066.093418 1695.607578
2025-07-27 167.842974 234.760991 331.991892 488.849953 746.267574 1173.026350 1984.278356
2025-08-03 151.962901 217.130547 314.473878 476.705886 753.631210 1234.828788 2205.458224
2025-08-10 139.285202 202.899614 300.348738 467.699126 764.050201 1302.462523 2452.608259
2025-08-17 133.246992 198.178258 300.392559 481.772772 816.301638 1455.307227 2913.325973
2025-08-24 124.736650 188.696644 291.661222 479.410326 837.727724 1552.084343 3278.435612
2025-08-31 116.227921 178.455130 280.620336 471.459175 847.005689 1625.379407 3609.241815
2025-09-07 110.363654 172.059813 275.433378 473.444891 875.886822 1745.332153 4093.381296
2025-09-14 102.728867 162.277802 263.823043 462.642330 878.375056 1810.395032 4463.467821
2025-09-21 97.211633 155.722011 257.383309 461.172084 900.640082 1926.766092 5025.109293
2025-09-28 89.602303 144.954922 242.414913 441.091749 879.151539 1932.734873 5256.062984
2025-10-05 87.945199 144.559200 246.410256 459.820236 947.925355 2181.486651 6373.733073
2025-10-12 86.578114 144.550683 251.080457 480.469902 1024.818833 2471.998398 7790.542600
2025-10-19 83.171815 140.539445 247.696845 483.392451 1059.164423 2653.089999 8898.336536
2025-10-26 78.369687 133.604563 238.037853 471.413163 1054.097819 2717.637064 9567.874448
2025-11-02 74.280883 127.761375 230.115085 462.528030 1055.812075 2803.997999 10386.089257
2025-11-09 72.827096 126.845211 232.032724 476.411406 1120.543309 3108.435019 12426.000128
2025-11-16 69.872654 122.828482 227.271810 474.080985 1140.419565 3270.379313 13874.656162
2025-11-23 66.610651 118.014639 220.503208 466.237365 1143.525623 3375.717116 15100.020608